Adapting to climate change in Europe: building a systemic and urgent vision
The fourth European Climate Change Adaptation conference takes place in Lisbon later this month. Susannah Fisher and Andrew Norton argue that researchers can play an important role in raising Europe’s ambitions on adaptation by highlighting whole systems approaches and transformative public narratives.
In the last few months, the school strikers for climate and activist movements such as Extinction Rebellion have catalysed public concern and media attention around the urgent challenge of climate change. This urgency is long overdue and welcome support for more progressive and radical action on climate change at all levels of policy and practice.
Narratives of adaptation and resilience have not so far been at the centre of these movements. The focus – understandably given the growing public alarm at the consequences for people and planet – has largely been on mitigating climate change and preventing further escalation of risks and tipping points.
But there is a need for simultaneous step change in the urgency and priority given to adapting to climate change too.
Scientists and practitioners are gathering for the annual conference on European adaptation, ECCA 2019, in Lisbon in a few weeks’ time to share progress on adaptation across Europe. Member states, cities and regions are also appreciating the need to act and are developing adaptation plans and ‘declaring climate emergencies’ in ever greater numbers.
But there remains a gap between the focus of the efforts and improvements – in specific areas of research, practice and policy – and the scale and nature of the challenge. Even with only limited further warming from now, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Special Report on 1.5°C shows us the potential for widespread disruption from climate impacts.
Drawing on our experience on these issues in the global South and innovation experiments in Europe, we argue the response to this challenge needs to be much more than a technical offer with single point or sectoral solutions. It needs to be joined up and systemic, and it needs to put a political offer of transformation at the centre.
Highlighting socio-economic benefits
Firstly, addressing climate risks and promoting resilience can come with immense co-benefits – for business creation and innovation, economic growth and job security, a healthy and life-enhancing environment for communities, and an opportunity for community renewal and positively refreshed state-society relationships.
To achieve this, researchers and policymakers need to go beyond considering climate change adaptation as being only a lack of climate information, or focusing only on discrete policies or sectors, or treating mitigation and adaptation as separate components.
We need to situate these specific inputs – which are very much needed – within a systemic approach to adaptation, and one rooted in the day to day socio-economic concerns of European citizens.
An example from India shows how a labour guarantee scheme can be developed to build climate resilience and environmental public goods, integrating climate risks into a social instrument. Thinking about this in the European context would require us to open up how we think about and research the jobs agenda, developing skills and capacities, and social welfare schemes.
When advocates of the ‘Green New Deal’ in the United States or Europe talk about providing a jobs guarantee where people could be paid to work on creating carbon and biodiversity-rich landscapes, it is helpful to be aware that similar ideas have already been tested (with considerable success) in practice.
There are lots of exciting local initiatives on adaptation in urban and rural areas across Europe. Our experience shows local adaptation action needs to connect across scales to tackle risks, with the principle of subsidiarity. This requires explicit consideration of how local action can be supported by actions at the regional and national scale to manage risk and change incentives.
This needs better coordination and systemic analysis at each level, building shared objectives and accountability systems between these scales as to who has the authority to act in which domain with what consequences.
Engaging with the politics of transformation
Secondly, we need to combine the technical dimensions of resilience and adaptation with a compelling narrative based in public and political engagement, and the adaptation research community has an important role to play here.
Recent examples in Spain, with the just transition deal for coal mining communities and the traction gained by the concept of the Green New Deal in the US, show how this politics of transformation can gain momentum. At the same time, the protests of the ‘gilet jaunes’ in France show the importance of approaches keeping socio-economic issues at the heart of the agenda.
Recent months have also shown how high-ambition groups in Europe and beyond can quickly change the narrative and create the space for transformative action where it strikes a chord.
To take the steps needed for adaptation across Europe, we will need to make resilience and adaptation a core part of these urgency narratives. This will build the case for fast action on options that are aligned with the current policy direction, as well as those that require a change in approach.
For example, there are also limits to adaptation. Some communities will need support in redeploying to new sectors and this needs to be managed as part of an inclusive approach to resilience with support for communities living on the edge of either climate impacts themselves and/or of the impacts of climate mitigation policies. All of this will require public commitment and buy in to urgently adapt to the climate challenge.
The progress on research, tools and specific policy areas in the adaptation research community are all important parts of a societal response, but in themselves they are not sufficient. We need to make huge efforts to link our individual progress to look at whole systems, spillovers and the potential for maladaptation and perverse incentives in the gaps and overlaps of our work.
Researchers can play a crucial role in transforming and catalysing ambition around adaptation in Europe if we all place the need for transformative public narratives and systemic approaches at the heart of our thinking and research.
This blog was originally posted on the Climate-KIC website.